How did 2010 predictions about the future of surfing pan out?

January 12th, 2020 Posted by Uncategorized 0 comments on “How did 2010 predictions about the future of surfing pan out?”

Kelly Slater, 11 -time world champion, curves to the crowd who collected for the WSL Founders’ Cup of Surfing, the first incident that showcased the man-made wavings in Lemoore, Calif. on Sunday May 6, 2018.( Photo by Raul Romero Jr, Contributing Photographer)

What will happen to surfing as we razz a tide into the next decade?

It was a question posed to Peter ” PT ” Townend, surfing’s first nature supporter, for a storey the Orange County Register published as 2010 approached, a chance to predict what was ahead for the athletic and the culture.

As we foreman into 2020, it’s a perfect opportunity to reflect on those prognosis concluded 10 year ago — to see which ones were distinguished on and who the hell is wipeouts. It’s also a chance to predict what channel-surf might look like in the future.

In 2010, Townend predicted that Stephanie Gilmore would acquire her 11 th ASP Women’s World Title to set the all-time record for ASP championships.

Gilmore did, in fact, included a few championships to her resume — four since 2010 to make for seven total entitles. But it was Kelly Slater who arrived at the 11 brand by earning a entitlement in 2010 and again the following year.

Oh, and the ASP( Association of Surfing Professionals) terminated and is now the World Surf League.

Stephanie Gilmore of Australia surfs during the semi finals of the Swatch Women’s Pro at Lower Trestles at San Onofre State Beach in 2016. She’s won seven macrocosm entitles in her profession .( Photo by Mark Rightmire, Orange County Register/ SCNG)

Townend predicted that at senility 48, Slater would be granted a wildcard to the WCT Billabong Pipeline Masters and would contact the finals, losing to Huntington Beach surfer Kanoa Igarashi.

It was a wild thought ten years ago that Slater would still be surfing the Pipe Masters as he nears 50, but there he was again this year , not needing a wildcard because he’s still one of the world’s top surfers and not only reaching the semifinals, but fixing his third Vans Triple Crown of Surfing title.

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Did Surfline develop forecasting engineering that allows a personal device to be embedded into your surfboard, to alert you to the next provide with size and direction of the approaching swells? It was a swell notion, but that one hasn’t happened yet.

Surfline, though, certainly has obliged technological leaps, including enabling surfers to record” Surfline Sessions .” They been in a position to download video of themselves channel-surf, to their phone, by the time they get out of the water.

Fernando Aguerre, co-founder of Reef, is inducted into the Surfing Walk of Fame on Main Street in Huntington Beach on Thursday, August 2, 2018. He was instramental in surfing’s inclusion into the 2020 Olympics.( Photo by Mark Rightmire, Orange County Register/ SCNG)

This prediction by Townend was pretty spot on:” Now with acceptable Wavepool technology, surfing will finally make it into the Olympics fulfilling ISA President Fernando Aguerre’s dream .”

Both wave pool technology and channel-surf in the Olympics were just a dream in 2010, but now we are a decade last-minute with wave funds popping up inland around the world and surfing set to make its Olympic debut at the Tokyo Games in 2020.

While surfing’s debut will take place in the ocean, a wave pool in Japan just so happens to be in the works before the Olympics kick off.

Townend predicted gated surf communities” with a centralized wave consortium for a daily dosage of waves.

“( Slater’s) concept, like the golf course communities, becomes a reality ,” he predicted.

Slater, himself, opened the Surf Ranch in 2018, accessible only if you have big bucks, in the agricultural center of California.

A wave pool plan in Palm Desert just got the go-ahead from municipal officials.It’ll be a resort-style destination complete with cabanas and condos you can buy adjacent a golf course. And others, like one in Waco, Texas, once are seeing brandishes for inland surfers.

Here’s one projection from 2010 about surfboard intend:” The latest surfboard engineering tolerates brand-new boards to be computer produced ready on-site in less than an hour with space-age textiles … enabling the surfers to reach new meridians of conduct ,” Townend predicted.

Well, more and more shapers are using computers to create boards, but ready in little than an hour? Not happening, yet.

Last of Townend’s projections was that at the 2020 Billabong XXL Awards, three of the nominees for “Ride of the Year” would be in the 100 -foot range — with San Clemente’s Greg Long being one of them.

In 2013, surfer Garrett McNamara formed headlines for a motion that, unofficially, was said to be close to 100 paws at Nazare, Portugal. But it was Brazil’s Rodrigo Koxa that earned a residence in the Guinness World Records, at the same spot, for his 80 -foot wave in November 2017.

There were a few stuns the last decades that no one could have predicted.

Who would have thought soft crowns would turn cool? It used to be only novices and young boys would dare see now on a soft-top board, but somehow the ebb turned.

Much credit should go to Catch Surf, a San Clemente company that started make rendition soft surfaces and labelling them as a not-so-serious way to travel tides. Other brands have followed in recent years, with Album Surfboards in San Clemente recently releasing a line of tasteful soft tops made from recycled materials.

Album Surfboards in San Clemente recently propelled a line of soft-top boards.( Photo by Laylan Connelly)

Billabong and Quiksilver merging together? Two top channel-surf brands, contenders since the dawn of the surf manufacture, under the same umbrella company? Who would have visualized these archnemeses would be part of the same family, but that’s just what happened in 2018.

So what’s next?

As we enter a new decade, there are some notions hovering around about where the boast will be heading.

Townend gave us a few to chew on.

Surfing in the Olympics will grow the culture globally like ever been, and if a USA team member prevails one of those six gold medals in the next three Summer Olympics, Townend foresees, he or she will induce the Wheaties cereal box — the first surfer ever to do so.

Kolohe Andino of San Clemente is one of the forthcoming Olympians to compete in Japan. Will he end up on a Wheaties box?( Photo by Mark Rightmire, Orange County Register/ SCNG)

A few others: Asia will be the channel-surf industry’s number one growth area. Caroline Marks will win WSL World Women’s claims. Slater will still be winning hots in his ’5 0s.

Several other surfers chimed in with their prognosis. John Oxarart, for one, makes Slater will win his 12 th world claim — then go on the pro golf tour.

Many prognosis is organized around ripple puddles and their effects on the sport.

Janice Aragon, executive director of the National Scholastic Surfing Association, predicts more inland college surf teams will organize and compete in collegiate surfing occasions with the expansion of gesticulate consortia. This also will create another avenue of grants from colleges and alumni, for surfers wanting to pursue their education.

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Don Ramsey thinks beckon commons will be as common as theme parks and Huntington Beach will have one.

And with that detonation, Louis Rice trusts the play will become mainstream. He said what he meets on social media, in Costco and on webcams picturing channel-surf conditions in real epoch advocate this is already happening.

” Surfing is no longer the boast of rebels, it has become mainstream, much to the chagrin of those of us who began in a hour( and even more importantly in a region) when lineups were still empty ,” he wrote.” What the next decade maintains: more mobbed lineups. Further commoditization of the entire surfing lifestyle. Wave reserves galore. Further overpopulation in the liquid .”

Kelly Miller, CEO of Visit Huntington Beach, believes we may ascertain small-scale, easy-to-install wave engineering forces for personal possession, developing ways to adapt existing wading pool into wave ponds. There also will be motorized channel-surf cards cheap enough to help kinfolks catch more ripples and paddle less, he wrote.

But let’s hope one thing won’t change in the future: that excite you get with every wave.

Enjoy the ride.

Santa Ana’s Courtney Conlogue rides a tide at a man-made wave pool at the Surf Ranch in Lemoore, Ca. Surfers are prophesying man-made kitties are going to change the sport and cultural activities in the next decade to come.( Photo by Sean M. Haffey/ Getty Images)

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